The Principle of Total Evidence, postulated by Carnap in 1947, implies that to achieve the best assignation of a probability, all available information should be considered, subject to cost. For the evaluation of evidence, it is important that the best assignation of probability be made. The benefits of such an assignation are shown to be an increase in the expected utility of any decision made, a decrease in an expectation of an error of an inference that might be made and an increase in the expected weight of evidence for the correct hypothesis. A practical illustration is given with reference to a recent Italian case.

The principle of total evidence reprised

Bozza Silvia;
2024-01-01

Abstract

The Principle of Total Evidence, postulated by Carnap in 1947, implies that to achieve the best assignation of a probability, all available information should be considered, subject to cost. For the evaluation of evidence, it is important that the best assignation of probability be made. The benefits of such an assignation are shown to be an increase in the expected utility of any decision made, a decrease in an expectation of an error of an inference that might be made and an increase in the expected weight of evidence for the correct hypothesis. A practical illustration is given with reference to a recent Italian case.
2024
23
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
Total Evidence_LPR.pdf

accesso aperto

Tipologia: Versione dell'editore
Licenza: Creative commons
Dimensione 1.36 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.36 MB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri

I documenti in ARCA sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10278/5082339
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 0
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
social impact