This paper addresses the importance of industry-specific models for SMEs bankruptcy prediction, building on earlier research finding larger predictive accuracy and enhanced temporal stability. Using Italian data, we propose separate bankruptcy prediction models for a few industries based on balance sheet data and explore the predictive power of SMEs' website HTML code structure. Our findings suggest that website data can serve as a valid complementary source for bankruptcy prediction, with different performances across sectors. We observe a certain degree of sectoral heterogeneity in the importance of balance sheet indicators and website structure, calling for an industry-tailored approach in bankruptcy prediction models
Prediction of SMEs Bankruptcy at the Industry Level with Balance Sheets and Website Indicators.
Crosato Lisa
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2024-01-01
Abstract
This paper addresses the importance of industry-specific models for SMEs bankruptcy prediction, building on earlier research finding larger predictive accuracy and enhanced temporal stability. Using Italian data, we propose separate bankruptcy prediction models for a few industries based on balance sheet data and explore the predictive power of SMEs' website HTML code structure. Our findings suggest that website data can serve as a valid complementary source for bankruptcy prediction, with different performances across sectors. We observe a certain degree of sectoral heterogeneity in the importance of balance sheet indicators and website structure, calling for an industry-tailored approach in bankruptcy prediction modelsI documenti in ARCA sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.