Regression models to predict water-soil heavy metals partition coefficients in risk assessment studies

Risk assessment studies apply fate and transport models to predict the behaviour of chemicals in the environment. The definition of physico-chemical properties is crucial to predict the mobility of pollutants and heavy metals in particular within the environmental compartments. The conservative approach normally adopted at a screening level in attributing a value to the K-d value, results in an extremely variable mobility in soil. In this paper a regression model to estimate rapidly the K-d for heavy metals is proposed and applied to Pb, allowing a considerable reduction (3-4 orders of magnitude) of the estimation uncertainty. The application of a stepwise forward multiple regression to literature data provided a pH-dependent regression equation of the soil-water distribution coefficient (K-d) for Pb: log K-d = 1.99 + 0.42 pH.